Live prediction market odds for Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-04
This market resolved on 2026-04-04. Barcelona was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid — La Liga game held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
BarcelonaWINNER | 99% | 48% |
Tie | 1% | 24% |
Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Barcelona led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tie at 12%.
Barcelona held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Barcelona, Tie at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 51.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Barcelona: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 51.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Barcelona would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tie wins the Atletico vs Barcelona professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Atletico vs Barcelona professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Barcelona
73.3% avg
