Live prediction market odds for Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-03
Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano — La Liga game scheduled for 2026-04-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tie leads the “Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano” event at 13.3% implied probability, followed by Elche at 10.8%. A 24.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tie leads at 13% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Elche at 11%.
Tie currently leads at 13% implied probability. Behind Tie, Elche at 11% are the next closest contenders. The 24.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tie: 1¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Elche: 1¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 24.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 13¢ means the market estimates a 13% probability that Tie will be the outcome. Buying one share at 13¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 669% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Elche wins the Vallecano vs Elche professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vallecano vs Elche professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Elche CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Tie
13.3% avg
