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Live prediction market odds for Levante vs. Real Sociedad. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Real Sociedad Wins: Levante vs. Real Sociedad

Resolved 2026-04-04

This market resolved on 2026-04-04. Real Sociedad was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

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Levante vs. Real Sociedad — La Liga game held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Real SociedadWINNER
99%100%
Levante
1%0%
Tie
1%0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Levante vs. Real Sociedad" and why did it matter?

Levante vs. Real Sociedad was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Real Sociedad led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Levante at 1%, Tie at 1%.

What moved the odds on "Levante vs. Real Sociedad"?

Real Sociedad held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Real Sociedad, Levante at 1% and Tie at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What were the final odds for "Levante vs. Real Sociedad" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Real Sociedad: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Levante: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What did 100% odds for Real Sociedad mean?

A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Real Sociedad would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Winner

Market Rulebook: Levante vs. Real Sociedad

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Real Sociedad wins the Real Sociedad vs Levante professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Real Sociedad vs Levante professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If Real Sociedad de Fútbol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Real Sociedad

99.5% avg