Live prediction market odds for Real Madrid vs. Mallorca. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-04
This market resolved on 2026-04-04. Mallorca was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Real Madrid vs. Mallorca — La Liga game held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
MallorcaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Real Madrid | 1% | 0% |
Tie | 1% | 0% |
Real Madrid vs. Mallorca was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mallorca led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Real Madrid at 1%, Tie at 1%.
Mallorca held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Mallorca, Real Madrid at 1% and Tie at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mallorca: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Real Madrid: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Mallorca would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Real Madrid vs. Mallorca” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Mallorca wins the Mallorca vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mallorca vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If RCD Mallorca wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mallorca
99.5% avg
