About This Market
ShareLos Angeles Galaxy leads the “Los Angeles G vs New York City” event at 25.5% implied probability, followed by New York City FC at 25.5%. A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Live prediction market odds for Los Angeles G vs New York City. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-02-23
Los Angeles Galaxy leads the “Los Angeles G vs New York City” event at 25.5% implied probability, followed by New York City FC at 25.5%. A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Los Angeles G vs New York City is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Galaxy leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include New York City FC at 26%.
Los Angeles Galaxy currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Los Angeles Galaxy, New York City FC at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Galaxy: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. New York City FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Los Angeles Galaxy will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Los Angeles Galaxy
25.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Los Angeles G wins the Los Angeles G vs New York City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Los Angeles G vs New York City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.