Live prediction market odds for Manchester City vs Newcastle. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-21
This market resolved on 2026-02-21. Manchester City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Manchester CityWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Manchester City FC | 99% | 100% |
Newcastle | 1% | 50% |
Newcastle United FC | 1% | 50% |
Manchester City vs Newcastle was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Manchester City led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Manchester City FC at 100%, Newcastle at 26%, Newcastle United FC at 26%.
Manchester City held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Manchester City, Manchester City FC at 100% and Newcastle at 26% and Newcastle United FC at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Manchester City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Manchester City FC: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Newcastle: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Newcastle United FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Manchester City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Manchester City
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Manchester City wins the Manchester City vs Newcastle professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Manchester City vs Newcastle professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
