Live prediction market odds for Maryland Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Maryland Governor Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it will determine the political leadership of Maryland and could influence state policies and party dynamics in the region.
Democratic party is priced at 94.8% implied probability for the “Maryland Governor Election Winner” event. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The Maryland Governor Election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is crucial for voters as it marks the opportunity to influence state governance.
Odds in the Maryland Governor Election market are influenced by polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign developments. External events, such as debates and endorsements, also play a significant role.
The outcome of the Maryland Governor Election will shape the state's policies on key issues such as education, healthcare, and public safety. Additionally, it could impact the balance of power within the state legislature.
Maryland Governor Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic party leads at 95% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Democratic party currently leads at 95% implied probability. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Democratic party
94.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Maryland pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
