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Live prediction market odds for Maryland Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Maryland Governor Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Wes Moore (D)96¢1.04xPolymarket USDan Cox (R)4¢25.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Wes Moore (D) about a 96.0% chance. Dan Cox (R) follows at 3.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.1 percentage points.

Traders give Wes Moore (D) about a 96.0% chance. Dan Cox (R) follows at 3.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.1 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Maryland Governor Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it will determine the political leadership of Maryland and could influence state policies and party dynamics in the region.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
WM
Wes Moore (D)
96%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket97¢
Polymarket US1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.4%96¢97¢3¢4¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
95.0%95¢96¢4¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.6%96¢97¢3¢4¢
DC
Dan Cox (R)
4%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket3¢
Kalshi22.73x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.4%2¢4¢96¢98¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
5.0%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.9%1¢3¢97¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Wes Moore (D)

Wes Moore is the 63rd Governor of Maryland, serving since January 18, 2023. Before his election, he was CEO of the Robin Hood Foundation, a leading anti-poverty organization. As governor, he has focused on economic opportunity and equity, aiming to provide equal opportunities for all Marylanders.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.1%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Wes Moore (D)

96.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Maryland Governor Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Maryland pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

When is the Maryland Governor Election?

The Maryland Governor Election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is crucial for voters as it marks the opportunity to influence state governance.

What factors influence the odds in this election market?

Odds in the Maryland Governor Election market are influenced by polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign developments. External events, such as debates and endorsements, also play a significant role.

Why is the Maryland Governor Election significant?

The outcome of the Maryland Governor Election will shape the state's policies on key issues such as education, healthcare, and public safety. Additionally, it could impact the balance of power within the state legislature.

What does the Maryland Governor Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Maryland Governor Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Wes Moore (D): 96.4¢ on Kalshi, 96.6¢ on Polymarket, 95.0¢ on Polymarket US; Dan Cox (R): 4.4¢ on Kalshi, 1.9¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds