Live prediction market odds for Men's Ice Hockey: Gold Medal Country. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-22
This market resolved on 2026-02-22. United States was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
United StatesWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Canada | 1% | 50% |
Denmark | 1% | 50% |
Finland | 1% | 50% |
France | 1% | 50% |
Germany | 1% | 50% |
Italy | 1% | 50% |
Latvia | 1% | 50% |
Slovakia | 1% | 50% |
Sweden | 1% | 50% |
Switzerland | 1% | 50% |
Men's Ice Hockey: Gold Medal Country was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). United States led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Canada at 26%, Denmark at 26%, Finland at 26%.
United States held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind United States, Canada at 26% and Denmark at 26% and Finland at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: United States: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Canada: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Denmark: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Finland: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that United States would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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United States
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Finland wins the gold medal in the 2026 Winter Olympics Ice Hockey Men's Ice Hockey, then the market resolves to Yes.
