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Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Minnesota Governor Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Amy Klobuchar (D)95¢1.05xKalshiLisa Demuth (R)6¢16.67xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Amy Klobuchar (D) about a 95.3% chance. Lisa Demuth (R) follows at 5.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Traders give Amy Klobuchar (D) about a 95.3% chance. Lisa Demuth (R) follows at 5.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Minnesota Governor Election Winner, set for November 3, 2026. This election will determine the state's leadership and could influence local policies and party dynamics leading into the 2028 presidential cycle.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AK
Amy Klobuchar (D)
95%
Kalshi95¢
Polymarket96¢
Kalshi1.05x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
95.1%95¢95¢5¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.5%95¢96¢4¢5¢
LD
Lisa Demuth (R)
5%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi17.86x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%6¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.1%5¢5¢95¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Amy Klobuchar (D)

Amy Klobuchar is a U.S. Senator representing Minnesota. She served as Hennepin County Attorney from 1999 to 2006. She is currently running for governor of Minnesota.

About Lisa Demuth (R)

Lisa Demuth is the Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives, representing District 13A. She previously served as the House Minority Leader from 2023 to 2025. As the first Black and first Republican woman to hold the position of Speaker, she has a history of leadership in Minnesota politics.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Amy Klobuchar (D)

95.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Minnesota pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Minnesota Governor Election?

Polling data, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are key factors. Additionally, local issues and national political trends can sway voter sentiment.

When is the Minnesota Governor Election scheduled?

The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is significant as it aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and perceived probabilities of various candidates winning.

What does the Minnesota Governor Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Minnesota Governor Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Amy Klobuchar (D): 95.1¢ on Kalshi, 95.5¢ on Polymarket; Lisa Demuth (R): 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 5.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?WONPre-event: 57%Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?WONPre-event: 24%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

WONLisa Demuth (R)
Pre-event: 57%

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-11

WONLisa Demuth (R)
Pre-event: 24%