Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-31
This market resolved on 2026-03-31. New York Y was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners — MLB game held on 2026-03-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New York YWINNER | 99% | 50% | 98% |
Seattle | 1% | 51% | 10% |
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New York Y led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Seattle at 20%.
New York Y held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York Y, Seattle at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New York Y: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Seattle: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 49.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that New York Y would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Seattle wins the New York Y vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York Y vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for March 31 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
New York Y
82.1% avg
