Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. San Francisco was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres — MLB game held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
San FranciscoWINNER | 99% | 49% | 98% |
San Diego | 1% | 52% | 6% |
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Francisco led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Diego at 20%.
San Francisco held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Francisco, San Diego at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 50.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Francisco: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. San Diego: 1¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 50.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that San Francisco would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Francisco vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres, scheduled for March 30 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
San Francisco
81.9% avg
