Live prediction market odds for Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-31
This market resolved on 2026-03-31. Texas was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles — MLB game held on 2026-03-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
TexasWINNER | 99% | 54% | 99% |
Baltimore Orioles | 1% | 47% | 3% |
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Texas led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 17%.
Texas held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Texas, Baltimore Orioles at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 45.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Texas: 99¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Baltimore Orioles: 1¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 45.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Texas would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Texas wins the Texas vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Texas vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for March 31 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Texas
83.8% avg
