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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

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Live prediction market odds for CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

New England Wins: CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution

Resolved 2026-04-04

This market resolved on 2026-04-04. New England was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.

About This Market

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CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution — Major League Soccer game held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
New EnglandWINNER
99%50%
Tie
1%26%
Montreal
1%24%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution" and why did it matter?

CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New England led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tie at 13%, Montreal at 13%.

What moved the odds on "CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution"?

New England held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New England, Tie at 13% and Montreal at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New England: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 1¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Montreal: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 75% odds for New England mean?

A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that New England would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread49.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Winner

Market Rulebook: CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New England wins the New England vs Montreal professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New England vs Montreal professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If New England Revolution wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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New England

74.5% avg