Live prediction market odds for Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Utah State was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion. This tournament is crucial as it determines the conference's representative in the NCAA tournament, impacting teams' postseason opportunities and fan engagement.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Utah StateWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Grand Canyon | 13% | 50% |
Fresno State | 8% | 50% |
Air Force | 1% | 50% |
Boise State | 1% | 50% |
Colorado State | 1% | 50% |
Nevada | 1% | 50% |
New Mexico | 1% | 50% |
San Diego State | 1% | 50% |
San Jose State | 1% | 50% |
UNLV | 1% | 50% |
Wyoming | 1% | 50% |
Winning the tournament grants a team an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament. This can greatly influence a team's season and future recruitment.
Teams qualify based on their performance during the regular season, with the top teams earning spots in the tournament. Seeding can affect matchups and overall chances.
Factors include team performance, injuries, historical matchups, and expert analyses. Betting odds can fluctuate based on these elements leading up to the tournament.
Mountain West Men's Conference Tournament Champion was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Utah State led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Grand Canyon at 32%, Fresno State at 29%, Air Force at 26%.
Utah State held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Utah State, Grand Canyon at 32% and Fresno State at 29% and Air Force at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf San Diego St. is the 2026 Men's College Basketball Mountain West conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
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PolymarketUtah State
99.5% avg
