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Live prediction market odds for NBA Steals Per Game Leader. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

NBA Steals Per Game Leader

2026-04-12

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the NBA Steals Per Game Leader for the 2025-2026 season. This event is crucial as it highlights defensive prowess in the league, impacting team strategies and player evaluations.

Ausar Thompson leads the “NBA Steals Per Game Leader” event at 64.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Tyrese Maxey (14.9%), Cason Wallace (8.8%), Kawhi Leonard (4.5%), and Dyson Daniels (2.9%). A 9.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
AT
Ausar Thompson
64% Avg
Kalshi60¢
Polymarket80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
59.0%58¢60¢40¢42¢
PolymarketPolymarket
69.5%59¢80¢20¢41¢
TM
Tyrese Maxey
15% Avg
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
18.5%18¢19¢81¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
11.0%2¢20¢81¢98¢
CW
Cason Wallace
9% Avg
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.5%7¢10¢90¢93¢
KL
Kawhi Leonard
5% Avg
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.5%3¢6¢95¢97¢
DD
Dyson Daniels
3% Avg
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%0¢3¢97¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%1¢9¢91¢99¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey is a professional basketball player for the Philadelphia 76ers. He was named the NBA's Most Improved Player for the 2023–24 season. His performance in the 2025–26 season, including a 54-point game, underscores his scoring prowess.

About Cason Wallace

Cason Wallace is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder. He leads the NBA with 2.0 steals per game in the 2025–26 season. His exceptional defensive performance makes him a strong candidate for the NBA Steals Per Game Leader.

About Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard is a forward for the Los Angeles Clippers. He has been named NBA Defensive Player of the Year twice. His defensive prowess makes him a strong candidate for the NBA Steals Per Game Leader.

Prediction Market Track Record

Which NBA players will be traded this season?LOSTPre-event: 6%

About Dyson Daniels

Dyson Daniels is a professional basketball player for the Atlanta Hawks. He led the NBA with 3.01 steals per game in the 2024–25 season, earning the Most Improved Player award. His exceptional defensive skills make him a strong candidate for the NBA Steals Per Game Leader.

Prediction Market Track Record

Which NBA players will be traded this season?LOSTPre-event: 5%

About Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges is a professional basketball player for the New York Knicks. He previously played for the Brooklyn Nets and Phoenix Suns, earning an All-Defensive First Team selection. His defensive prowess makes him a strong candidate for the NBA Steals Per Game Leader.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the NBA Steals Per Game Leader?

Player performance, team defensive strategies, and injury reports are key factors. Additionally, historical statistics and matchups against opposing teams can affect predictions.

How does the NBA Steals Per Game Leader impact team success?

A strong steals leader can enhance a team's defensive capabilities, leading to more fast-break opportunities. Effective defense is often correlated with overall team success in the playoffs.

When does the NBA Steals Per Game Leader market close?

The market will close at the end of the regular NBA season on April 12, 2026. This allows for the final assessment of player performances throughout the season.

What is "NBA Steals Per Game Leader" and why does it matter?

NBA Steals Per Game Leader is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ausar Thompson leads at 65% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tyrese Maxey at 15%, Cason Wallace at 9%, Kawhi Leonard at 5%.

What is moving the odds on "NBA Steals Per Game Leader"?

Ausar Thompson currently leads at 65% implied probability. Behind Ausar Thompson, Tyrese Maxey at 15% and Cason Wallace at 9% and Kawhi Leonard at 5% are the next closest contenders. The 9.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
CBS SportsESPNFox SportsNBC SportsReutersSports Referencethe Associated PressThe AthleticThe Wall Street Journal
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread9.5%
Platforms2
Candidates9
Leader

Ausar Thompson

64.8% avg

Market Rulebook: NBA Steals Per Game Leader

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alex Caruso leads Pro Basketball in Steals Per Game for the 2025-26 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only considered if made before the expiration date.

Resolution Oracles
CBS SportsESPNFox SportsNBC SportsReutersSports Referencethe Associated PressThe AthleticThe Wall Street Journal
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Which NBA players will be traded this season?

Resolved

2026-02-06

LOSTDyson Daniels
Pre-event: 5%
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?