Live prediction market odds for Atlanta Hawks vs. Dallas Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-18
This market resolved on 2026-03-18. Atlanta Hawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
nba-atl-dal-2026-03-18 : Sports event: Atlanta Hawks vs. Dallas Mavericks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta HawksWINNER | 99% | 76% | 98% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 25% | 4% |
Atlanta Hawks vs. Dallas Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Atlanta Hawks led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 10%.
Atlanta Hawks held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Hawks, Dallas Mavericks at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 23.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Atlanta Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 23.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Atlanta Hawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Atlanta at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 18 at 8:30PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Atlanta Hawks
91.0% avg
