About This Market
Sharenba-bos-mil-2026-03-02 : Sports event: Celtics vs. Bucks - nba
Live prediction market odds for Celtics vs. Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-02
This market resolved on 2026-03-02. Boston Celtics was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 57%.
nba-bos-mil-2026-03-02 : Sports event: Celtics vs. Bucks - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Boston CelticsWINNER | 57% | 57% | 99% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 44% | 44% | 1% |
Celtics vs. Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Boston Celtics led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 30%.
Boston Celtics held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Boston Celtics, Milwaukee Bucks at 30% were the next closest contenders. The 42.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Boston Celtics: 57¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Milwaukee Bucks: 44¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket, 1¢ on ProphetX. The 42.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Boston Celtics would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Boston Celtics
70.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Boston at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.