Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-17
This market resolved on 2026-03-17. Cleveland Cavaliers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-cle-mil-2026-03-17 : Sports event: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 82% | 99% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 19% | 5% |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Milwaukee Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 93% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 8%.
Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 93% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Milwaukee Bucks at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 17.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 82¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket, 5¢ on ProphetX. The 17.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 93¢ meant the market estimated a 93% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 93¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 8% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Cleveland at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 17 at 8:00PM ET: If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Cleveland Cavaliers
93.2% avg
