About This Market
Sharenba-cle-orl-2026-03-11 : Sports event: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic - nba
Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-11
This market resolved on 2026-03-11. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
nba-cle-orl-2026-03-11 : Sports event: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 39% | 98% |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 62% | 34% |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Orlando led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 32%.
Orlando held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, Cleveland Cavaliers at 32% were the next closest contenders. The 60.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Cleveland Cavaliers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket, 34¢ on ProphetX. The 60.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Orlando
78.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Cleveland at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.