Live prediction market odds for Cavaliers vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. Cleveland Cavaliers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.
nba-cle-sac-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Cavaliers vs. Kings - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 87% | 65% |
Sacramento | 1% | 14% | 38% |
Cavaliers vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento at 18%.
Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Sacramento at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 37.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 87¢ on Polymarket, 65¢ on ProphetX. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket, 38¢ on ProphetX. The 37.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Cleveland Cavaliers
83.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Cleveland at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
