Live prediction market odds for Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Dallas Mavericks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
nba-dal-cle-2026-03-15 : Sports event: Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Dallas MavericksWINNER | 99% | 12% | 96% |
Cleveland Cavaliers | 1% | 89% | 4% |
Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Dallas Mavericks led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cleveland Cavaliers at 31%.
Dallas Mavericks held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dallas Mavericks, Cleveland Cavaliers at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 87.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 12¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Cleveland Cavaliers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 89¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 87.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Dallas Mavericks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the Dallas at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 15 at 3:30PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Dallas Mavericks
68.9% avg
