Live prediction market odds for Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-12
This market resolved on 2026-03-12. Dallas Mavericks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-dal-mem-2026-03-12 : Sports event: Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Dallas MavericksWINNER | 99% | 66% | 99% |
Memphis Grizzlies | 1% | 35% | 34% |
Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Dallas Mavericks led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Grizzlies at 23%.
Dallas Mavericks held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dallas Mavericks, Memphis Grizzlies at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 33.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Memphis Grizzlies: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket, 34¢ on ProphetX. The 33.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Dallas Mavericks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Dallas Mavericks
87.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Dallas at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
