Live prediction market odds for Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-16
This market resolved on 2026-03-16. New Orleans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-dal-nop-2026-03-16 : Sports event: Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New OrleansWINNER | 99% | 77% | 99% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 23% | 4% |
Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New Orleans led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 9%.
New Orleans held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Orleans, Dallas Mavericks at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 22.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New Orleans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 22.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that New Orleans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Dallas at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 16 at 8:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
New Orleans
91.7% avg
