Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-05
This market resolved on 2026-03-05. Orlando Magic was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
nba-dal-orl-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Mavericks vs. Magic - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Orlando MagicWINNER | 76% | 75% | 99% |
Dallas Mavericks | 26% | 26% | 26% |
Mavericks vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Orlando Magic led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 26%.
Orlando Magic held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando Magic, Dallas Mavericks at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 24.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Orlando Magic: 76¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Dallas Mavericks: 26¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket, 26¢ on ProphetX. The 24.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that Orlando Magic would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Orlando Magic
83.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Dallas at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
