Live prediction market odds for Mavericks vs. Raptors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-08
nba-dal-tor-2026-03-08 : Sports event: Mavericks vs. Raptors - nba
Toronto Raptors leads the “Mavericks vs. Raptors” event at 75.3% implied probability, followed by Dallas Mavericks at 26.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mavericks vs. Raptors is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto Raptors leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 27%.
Toronto Raptors currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Toronto Raptors, Dallas Mavericks at 27% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto Raptors: 77¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 27¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ means the market estimates a 75% probability that Toronto Raptors will be the outcome. Buying one share at 75¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 33% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Toronto Raptors
75.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Dallas at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
