Live prediction market odds for Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-12
This market resolved on 2026-03-12. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-den-sas-2026-03-12 : Sports event: Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 37% | 99% |
San Antonio | 1% | 64% | 3% |
Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Denver Nuggets led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Antonio at 23%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, San Antonio at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 62.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. San Antonio: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 62.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Denver Nuggets
78.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the Denver at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
