Live prediction market odds for Pistons vs. Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-05
This market resolved on 2026-03-05. San Antonio Spurs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 59%.
nba-det-sas-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Pistons vs. Spurs - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
San Antonio SpursWINNER | 59% | 58% | 99% |
Detroit Pistons | 42% | 43% | 8% |
Pistons vs. Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Antonio Spurs led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Detroit Pistons at 31%.
San Antonio Spurs held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio Spurs, Detroit Pistons at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 41.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Antonio Spurs: 59¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Detroit Pistons: 42¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 41.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that San Antonio Spurs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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San Antonio Spurs
71.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the Detroit at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
