Live prediction market odds for Detroit Pistons vs. Toronto Raptors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Toronto was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
nba-det-tor-2026-03-15 : Sports event: Detroit Pistons vs. Toronto Raptors - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 40% | 98% |
Detroit Pistons | 1% | 61% | 2% |
Detroit Pistons vs. Toronto Raptors was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Toronto led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Detroit Pistons at 21%.
Toronto held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto, Detroit Pistons at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 59.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Detroit Pistons: 1¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 59.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Toronto would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Detroit at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 15 at 3:30PM ET: If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Toronto
78.9% avg
