Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-21
This market resolved on 2026-03-21. Atlanta Hawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-gsw-atl-2026-03-21 : Sports event: Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta HawksWINNER | 99% | 81% | 99% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 20% | 5% |
Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Atlanta Hawks led the market at 93% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 8%.
Atlanta Hawks held the lead at 93% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Hawks, Golden State Warriors at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 18.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Atlanta Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket, 5¢ on ProphetX. The 18.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 93¢ meant the market estimated a 93% chance that Atlanta Hawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 93¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 8% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Atlanta wins the Golden State at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Atlanta Hawks
92.8% avg
