Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets — NBA game held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 86% | 98% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 15% | 4% |
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Denver Nuggets led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 7%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Golden State Warriors at 7% were the next closest contenders. The 13.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 13.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Golden State at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 29 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Denver Nuggets
94.2% avg
