Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-20
This market resolved on 2026-03-20. Detroit Pistons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-gsw-det-2026-03-20 : Sports event: Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Detroit PistonsWINNER | 99% | 66% | 99% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 35% | 4% |
Golden State Warriors vs. Detroit Pistons was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Detroit Pistons led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 13%.
Detroit Pistons held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Golden State Warriors at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 33.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Detroit Pistons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 33.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the Golden State at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 20 at 7:30PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Detroit Pistons
87.8% avg
