Live prediction market odds for Warriors vs. Rockets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-05
nba-gsw-hou-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Warriors vs. Rockets - nba
Houston Rockets leads the “Warriors vs. Rockets” event at 55.0% implied probability, followed by Golden State Warriors at 47.5%. A 77.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Warriors vs. Rockets is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Houston Rockets leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 48%.
Houston Rockets currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Houston Rockets, Golden State Warriors at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 77.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Houston Rockets: 79¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 22¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. The 77.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Houston Rockets will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Houston Rockets
55.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Golden State at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
