Live prediction market odds for Warriors vs. Grizzlies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-25
This market resolved on 2026-02-25. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 63%.
nba-gsw-mem-2026-02-25 : Sports event: Warriors vs. Grizzlies - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 63% | 62% | 98% |
Memphis Grizzlies | 38% | 39% | 2% |
Warriors vs. Grizzlies was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Golden State Warriors led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Grizzlies at 26%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, Memphis Grizzlies at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 36.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Golden State Warriors: 63¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Memphis Grizzlies: 38¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 36.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Golden State Warriors
74.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Memphis wins the Golden State at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
