Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. New York was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-gsw-nyk-2026-03-15 : Sports event: Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New YorkWINNER | 99% | 84% | 99% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 17% | 10% |
Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New York led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 9%.
New York held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York, Golden State Warriors at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 15.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New York: 99¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 15.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that New York would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Golden State wins the Golden State at New York professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 15 at 8:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
New York
93.9% avg
