Live prediction market odds for Warriors vs. Thunder. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-07
nba-gsw-okc-2026-03-07 : Sports event: Warriors vs. Thunder - nba
Oklahoma City Thunder leads the “Warriors vs. Thunder” event at 87.2% implied probability, followed by Golden State Warriors at 13.4%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Warriors vs. Thunder is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City Thunder leads at 87% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 13%.
Oklahoma City Thunder currently leads at 87% implied probability. Behind Oklahoma City Thunder, Golden State Warriors at 13% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City Thunder: 88¢ on Kalshi, 87¢ on Polymarket, 87¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 13¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket, 14¢ on ProphetX. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 87¢ means the market estimates a 87% probability that Oklahoma City Thunder will be the outcome. Buying one share at 87¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 15% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Oklahoma City Thunder
87.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the Golden State at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
