Live prediction market odds for Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-16
This market resolved on 2026-03-16. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-gsw-was-2026-03-16 : Sports event: Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 99% | 77% | 99% |
Washington | 1% | 24% | 10% |
Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Golden State Warriors led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington at 11%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, Washington at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Golden State at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Golden State Warriors
91.5% avg
