Live prediction market odds for Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-11
This market resolved on 2026-03-11. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-hou-den-2026-03-11 : Sports event: Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 71% | 99% |
Houston Rockets | 1% | 30% | 3% |
Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Denver Nuggets led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Houston Rockets at 11%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Houston Rockets at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 28.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Houston Rockets: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 28.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Denver Nuggets
89.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Houston at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
