About This Market
ShareHouston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors — NBA game held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors — NBA game held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Houston RocketsWINNER | 99% | 61% | 99% |
Golden State Warriors | 1% | 40% | 6% |
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Houston Rockets led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 15%.
Houston Rockets held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Golden State Warriors at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 38.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 38.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Houston at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 10:00PM ET: If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Houston Rockets
86.1% avg