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Live prediction market odds for Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

Houston Rockets Wins: Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors

Resolved 2026-04-05

This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors — NBA game held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
Houston RocketsWINNER
99%61%99%
Golden State Warriors
1%40%6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors" and why did it matter?

Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Houston Rockets led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Golden State Warriors at 15%.

What moved the odds on "Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors"?

Houston Rockets held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Golden State Warriors at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 38.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Golden State Warriors: 1¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 38.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 86% odds for Houston Rockets mean?

A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread38.5%
Platforms3
Candidates

Market Rulebook: Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Houston wins the Houston at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 10:00PM ET: If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules
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2
Winner

Houston Rockets

86.1% avg