Live prediction market odds for Rockets vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Miami Heat was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-hou-mia-2026-02-28 : Sports event: Rockets vs. Heat - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Miami HeatWINNER | 99% | 100% | 97% |
Houston Rockets | 100% | 5% | 8% |
Rockets vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami Heat led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Houston Rockets at 38%.
Miami Heat held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Houston Rockets at 38% were the next closest contenders. The 95.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Houston Rockets: 100¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 95.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Miami Heat
98.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Houston at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
