Live prediction market odds for Rockets vs. Thunder. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-hou-okc-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Rockets vs. Thunder - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Houston RocketsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 82% |
Oklahoma City | 1% | 5% | 23% |
Rockets vs. Thunder was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Houston Rockets led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma City at 10%.
Houston Rockets held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Oklahoma City at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 21.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 82¢ on ProphetX. Oklahoma City: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 23¢ on ProphetX. The 21.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Houston Rockets
93.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the Houston at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
