Live prediction market odds for Rockets vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-26
This market resolved on 2026-02-26. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 57%.
nba-hou-orl-2026-02-26 : Sports event: Rockets vs. Magic - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Houston RocketsWINNER | 56% | 57% | 97% |
Orlando Magic | 44% | 44% | 6% |
Rockets vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Houston Rockets led the market at 70% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando Magic at 31%.
Houston Rockets held the lead at 70% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Orlando Magic at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 41.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Houston Rockets: 56¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Orlando Magic: 44¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 41.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ meant the market estimated a 70% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 70¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 43% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Houston Rockets
70.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Orlando wins the Houston at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
