About This Market
ShareIndiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers — NBA game held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Cleveland Cavaliers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers — NBA game held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland CavaliersWINNER | 99% | 93% | 98% |
Indiana Pacers | 1% | 8% | 6% |
Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Cleveland Cavaliers led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Indiana Pacers at 5%.
Cleveland Cavaliers held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Cavaliers, Indiana Pacers at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Cleveland Cavaliers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Indiana Pacers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 97¢ meant the market estimated a 97% chance that Cleveland Cavaliers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 97¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 3% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Indiana wins the Indiana at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 6:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Cleveland Cavaliers
96.5% avg