About This Market
ShareIndiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic — NBA game held on 2026-03-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-23
This market resolved on 2026-03-23. Indiana Pacers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 59%.
Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic — NBA game held on 2026-03-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Indiana PacersWINNER | 99% | 18% | 59% |
Orlando | 1% | 83% | 3% |
Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Indiana Pacers led the market at 59% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 29%.
Indiana Pacers held the lead at 59% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Indiana Pacers, Orlando at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 81.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Indiana Pacers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket, 59¢ on ProphetX. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 81.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ meant the market estimated a 59% chance that Indiana Pacers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 59¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 69% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Indiana wins the Indiana at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Indiana Pacers
58.6% avg