Live prediction market odds for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-19
This market resolved on 2026-03-19. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
nba-lal-mia-2026-03-19 : Sports event: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 34% | 97% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 67% | 6% |
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 24%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Miami Heat at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 65.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 65.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Los Angeles L at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 19 at 8:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Los Angeles Lakers
76.5% avg
