About This Market
Sharenba-lal-orl-2026-03-21 : Sports event: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Orlando Magic - nba
Live prediction market odds for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Orlando Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-21
This market resolved on 2026-03-21. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 61%.
nba-lal-orl-2026-03-21 : Sports event: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Orlando Magic - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 61% | 33% |
Orlando | 1% | 40% | 94% |
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Orlando Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 64% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 45%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 64% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Orlando at 45% were the next closest contenders. The 93.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket, 33¢ on ProphetX. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket, 94¢ on ProphetX. The 93.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 64¢ meant the market estimated a 64% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 64¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 56% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Orlando wins the Los Angeles L at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Los Angeles Lakers
64.2% avg