Live prediction market odds for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Milwaukee Bucks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks — NBA game held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee BucksWINNER | 99% | 71% | 99% |
Memphis Grizzlies | 1% | 30% | 5% |
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Milwaukee Bucks led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Grizzlies at 12%.
Milwaukee Bucks held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Milwaukee Bucks, Memphis Grizzlies at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Milwaukee Bucks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Memphis Grizzlies: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket, 5¢ on ProphetX. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Milwaukee Bucks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Memphis at Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 3:30PM ET: If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Milwaukee Bucks
89.4% avg
