Live prediction market odds for Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-03
This market resolved on 2026-03-03. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.
nba-mem-min-2026-03-03 : Sports event: Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 86% | 87% | 97% |
Memphis Grizzlies | 15% | 14% | 5% |
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Grizzlies at 11%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Memphis Grizzlies at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 11.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Timberwolves: 86¢ on Kalshi, 87¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Memphis Grizzlies: 15¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket, 5¢ on ProphetX. The 11.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Minnesota Timberwolves
90.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Memphis wins the Memphis at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
