Live prediction market odds for Heat vs. Hornets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-06
nba-mia-cha-2026-03-06 : Sports event: Heat vs. Hornets - nba
Charlotte Hornets leads the “Heat vs. Hornets” event at 54.4% implied probability, followed by Miami Heat at 50.7%. A 66.2% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Heat vs. Hornets is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Charlotte Hornets leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 51%.
Charlotte Hornets currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Charlotte Hornets, Miami Heat at 51% are the next closest contenders. The 66.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Charlotte Hornets: 72¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket, 20¢ on ProphetX. Miami Heat: 29¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. The 66.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Charlotte Hornets will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Charlotte Hornets
54.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Miami at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
