Live prediction market odds for Miami Heat vs. Houston Rockets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-21
This market resolved on 2026-03-21. Houston Rockets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 55%.
nba-mia-hou-2026-03-21 : Sports event: Miami Heat vs. Houston Rockets - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Houston RocketsWINNER | 99% | 55% | 31% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 45% | 77% |
Miami Heat vs. Houston Rockets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Houston Rockets led the market at 62% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 41%.
Houston Rockets held the lead at 62% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Miami Heat at 41% were the next closest contenders. The 75.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket, 31¢ on ProphetX. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket, 77¢ on ProphetX. The 75.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ meant the market estimated a 62% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 62¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 61% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Miami at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Houston Rockets
61.7% avg
