Live prediction market odds for Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Indiana Pacers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers — NBA game held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Indiana PacersWINNER | 99% | 23% | 98% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 78% | 6% |
Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Indiana Pacers led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 28%.
Indiana Pacers held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Indiana Pacers, Miami Heat at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 76.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Indiana Pacers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 76.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Indiana Pacers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Indiana wins the Miami at Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 29 at 5:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Indiana Pacers
73.3% avg
